As an example of how scenarios are created, consider a landscape in which future directions are defined by two factors: the dominance of technology; and the need to manage the cost of education.
Dominance of Technology
|Contained - Technology is constrained and restricted in impact||Pervasive - Technology dominates and shapes the approaches used|
Public Cost Containment
|Prosperity - Wealthy society investing in education||Austerity - Society minimising public expenditure in education|
These two axes create a space with four quadrants, which can then be developed into scenarios (see below for the scenarios).
None of these four scenarios will completely and accurately describe the future, but hopefully they will provoke our imaginations and stimulate a creative and positive engagement with the future vision for technology's place in the future of qualifications and pedagogical models. As with all scenario planning activities the goal is not to find the "right" scenario, but rather to identify strategies we can use to manage change irrespective of the reality of the future we experience.
In preparation for the workshop, we encourage you to reflect on how these scenarios relate to your university's context and possible future realities.